CD Covadonga vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
12º
1º
62
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 2
COV
17%
23%
60%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
COV
1 - 0
VAL
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
COV
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
COV
1 - 0
LUA
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 2
COV
82%
11%
6%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPB
4 - 0
LEN
79%
14%
8%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SPB
0 - 1
LLA
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 3
SPB
12%
23%
65%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SPB
1 - 0
VAL
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
SPB
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |