CD Covadonga vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
TUR
0 - 0
COV
73%
17%
10%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
COV
0 - 3
COL
32%
27%
41%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
PIL
4 - 1
COV
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
COV
0 - 3
NAI
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
UPL
3 - 0
COV
80%
13%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
AVI
2 - 0
LLA
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
AVI
0 - 0
TUR
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
COL
0 - 0
AVI
29%
28%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
AVI
1 - 0
PIL
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
NAI
1 - 2
AVI
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |