CD Covadonga vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+187%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
COV
1 - 1
URR
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TUI
1 - 0
COV
37%
25%
39%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
COV
1 - 2
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 3
COV
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COV
2 - 0
CUD
54%
23%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
LEN
4 - 2
NAI
68%
19%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
NAI
3 - 3
ATL
40%
28%
33%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
NAI
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
NAI
0 - 3
LUA
31%
27%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 0
NAI
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |