CD Covadonga vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
AST
0 - 3
COV
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
COV
2 - 0
PIL
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 2
COV
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
COV
2 - 0
TIN
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 0
COV
42%
25%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NAR
2 - 2
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
TIN
2 - 0
NAR
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAR
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 1
LEN
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
COM
1 - 0
NAR
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |