CD Covadonga vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
MOS
3 - 0
COV
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
COV
2 - 2
NAI
28%
23%
48%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CAU
3 - 1
COV
81%
14%
6%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
COV
2 - 2
UNI
19%
22%
58%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
AST
0 - 0
COV
68%
20%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
NAR
1 - 1
SIE
14%
26%
60%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
RTI
2 - 1
NAR
83%
12%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
NAR
0 - 3
GIN
17%
26%
57%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
LLA
0 - 0
NAR
72%
18%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
NAR
1 - 1
COL
36%
28%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |