CD Covadonga vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
COL
3 - 1
COV
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
COV
0 - 0
PCF
51%
25%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
PIL
3 - 2
COV
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
COV
1 - 1
GIN
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
NAR
0 - 0
ENA
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
RIB
2 - 0
NAR
35%
26%
40%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
NAR
0 - 1
NAI
42%
27%
32%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAR
41%
26%
32%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
NAR
1 - 3
GIN
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |