CD Covadonga vs Llanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LUA
1 - 0
COV
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
COV
0 - 0
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NAV
2 - 2
COV
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
COV
0 - 0
CAN
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
COV
0 - 1
LEA
27%
25%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Llanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LLA
2 - 2
RIB
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAU
2 - 3
LLA
45%
25%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 1
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 3
LLA
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
CON
3 - 2
LLA
20%
25%
56%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -2 |