CD Covadonga vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CEA
2 - 1
COV
42%
26%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LUA
0 - 2
COV
58%
24%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
COV
0 - 1
UPL
23%
26%
52%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
COV
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NAV
3 - 1
COV
42%
26%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LEA
2 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LEA
2 - 0
ROB
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
LEA
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LEA
0 - 2
CAU
16%
26%
58%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CUD
1 - 0
LEA
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |