Cova Piedade vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
5 - 0
COV
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
COV
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COV
3 - 1
FCB
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 2
COV
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
COV
0 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 1
JUV
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
ATL
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 2
FCC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
MOU
27%
27%
46%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 1
FCC
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |