Coutada vs União Tires analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coutada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
COU
4 - 0
CAR
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CLU
2 - 1
COU
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
COU
1 - 2
VIL
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
IRI
2 - 3
COU
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
COU
1 - 0
MON
63%
19%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
União Tires
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
UNI
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
TOJ
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
CAC
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
POV
2 - 0
UNI
19%
22%
60%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -2 |