Coutada vs Lourel SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coutada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAC
1 - 1
COU
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COU
1 - 0
POV
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PER
2 - 4
COU
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
COU
1 - 0
ALV
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | +4 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
OEI
2 - 0
COU
79%
14%
8%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lourel SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 2
LOU
48%
24%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TOJ
1 - 0
LOU
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
REA
1 - 3
LOU
81%
12%
6%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAC
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
POV
3 - 2
LOU
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |