Coutada vs Fayal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coutada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 0
COU
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
COU
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
COU
1 - 1
CLU
74%
16%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
COU
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
COU
1 - 1
IRI
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fayal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
6 - 1
FAY
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FAY
1 - 0
LAJ
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 1
FAY
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FAY
0 - 3
ANG
52%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 1
FAY
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |