Coutada vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
64%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coutada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CLU
2 - 1
COU
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
COU
1 - 2
VIL
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
IRI
2 - 3
COU
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
COU
1 - 0
MON
63%
19%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
COU
1 - 3
REA
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
LOU
56%
22%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TOJ
3 - 2
CAR
28%
23%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
LOU
81%
12%
6%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAC
0 - 3
CAR
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
POV
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -2 |