Coutada vs Cacém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coutada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
POV
1 - 0
COU
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
COU
5 - 1
PER
11%
18%
71%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | +7 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 0
COU
84%
12%
4%
|
11 | 60 | 49 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
COU
0 - 1
OEI
12%
20%
68%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
COU
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Cacém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAC
1 - 2
LOU
12%
19%
70%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TOJ
4 - 4
CAC
83%
11%
5%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAC
3 - 2
LOU
13%
19%
69%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
POV
3 - 0
CAC
68%
18%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |