Cournon vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
55.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cournon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LIM
3 - 1
COU
54%
21%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
COU
2 - 2
AVE
19%
20%
61%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
COU
1 - 3
SAE
33%
27%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
THI
1 - 2
COU
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SEL
2 - 1
COU
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
CHA
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CSL
3 - 1
BAS
36%
24%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 2
SAE
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
EVI
0 - 2
BAS
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +3 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
ANN
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |