Cournon vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cournon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 2
COU
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
COU
2 - 2
SUD
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
COU
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
BOU
4 - 0
COU
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
COU
2 - 0
ECH
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 0
CLE
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VIE
1 - 2
BAS
35%
24%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 2
ECH
54%
23%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 2
SAI
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BOU
0 - 0
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |