Courcelles vs Gilly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Courcelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
COU
2 - 2
SOI
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MOL
3 - 0
COU
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
COU
2 - 2
HOR
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
COU
1 - 3
GER
64%
19%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 2
COU
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 1
JEM
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SOI
1 - 0
RFC
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 3
MOL
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
RFC
2 - 0
RAN
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 5
HOR
46%
23%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |