Courcelles vs Merelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
59.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Courcelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
COU
5 - 0
WAL
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
RAN
1 - 3
COU
56%
20%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
COU
2 - 1
GOS
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
HOU
5 - 1
COU
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
COU
2 - 0
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MER
3 - 0
WES
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
KSC
1 - 0
MER
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
STA
1 - 1
MER
51%
24%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MER
0 - 0
OLS
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
BIL
1 - 1
MER
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |