Costa Unida vs Peña Compadres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
80.5%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
4%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ALH
4 - 1
COS
64%
19%
17%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
COS
2 - 3
BNM
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
COS
0 - 1
MRF
49%
20%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COS
1 - 5
BAN
21%
19%
60%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MRB
4 - 1
COS
82%
12%
7%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
5 - 3
CES
66%
17%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CDM
3 - 5
PEN
13%
15%
72%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
UDE
1 - 8
PEN
10%
14%
77%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 0
ALH
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BNM
3 - 3
PEN
36%
21%
44%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |