Costa Unida vs Peña Compadres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
77%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
11%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
COS
28%
21%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COS
0 - 1
MLL
48%
21%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 3
COS
30%
21%
49%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
COS
1 - 3
BAN
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
OSO
2 - 3
COS
26%
20%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 2
TOL
92%
6%
2%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CES
2 - 3
PEN
5%
9%
86%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 0
CDM
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
EST
56%
19%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UDE
0 - 4
PEN
6%
10%
84%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |