Costa Unida vs CD Tolox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COS
3 - 2
CDM
56%
19%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
COS
77%
13%
9%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
10%
13%
77%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
COS
28%
21%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COS
0 - 1
MLL
48%
21%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Tolox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TOL
6 - 3
UDE
29%
21%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 3
CES
41%
20%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 1
TOL
51%
20%
29%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 4
EST
10%
15%
75%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 2
TOL
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |