Costa do Sol vs Incomáti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MPU
1 - 2
COS
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SCN
0 - 3
COS
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
COS
0 - 1
MPU
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
COS
0 - 0
MAX
66%
22%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
GAL
0 - 1
COS
5%
13%
82%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
IDX
0 - 0
HCB
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UPM
0 - 0
IDX
48%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
IDX
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +4 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
IDX
2 - 1
HCB
34%
32%
34%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DMA
1 - 0
IDX
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |