Costa do Sol vs Ferroviário Nampula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
Des
0 - 1
COS
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
BBM
2 - 1
COS
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
COS
2 - 0
BDP
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
FER
2 - 1
COS
39%
29%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
COS
0 - 0
TEX
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
BDP
2 - 0
FER
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
FER
0 - 0
FER
47%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
TEX
1 - 1
FER
18%
27%
54%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
FER
1 - 1
DES
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
HCB
3 - 0
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |