Costa do Sol vs Ferroviário Nampula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
22.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
COS
56%
26%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BDP
0 - 0
COS
40%
29%
32%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BBM
3 - 1
COS
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
COS
2 - 1
QUE
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
COS
5 - 1
FEN
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FER
3 - 1
MDM
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LIC
1 - 0
FER
40%
30%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
FER
47%
29%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
FER
33%
31%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
HCB
30%
30%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |