Costa do Sol vs Atlético Muçulmano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
BEI
1 - 1
COS
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
COS
2 - 1
FER
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
COS
61%
23%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
COS
0 - 1
HCB
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LIG
0 - 1
COS
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Muçulmano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
MUC
0 - 1
FER
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MAX
0 - 0
MUC
65%
23%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MUC
0 - 0
CHI
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 2
MUC
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MUC
1 - 0
VIL
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |