Costa Daurada A vs Unió Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
37%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Daurada A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BON
2 - 1
COS
26%
21%
54%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BON
2 - 1
COS
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COS
1 - 2
SAL
57%
19%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COS
4 - 4
REU
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RIU
1 - 7
COS
39%
21%
41%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Unió Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AST
0 - 2
BON
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
REU
74%
15%
12%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
AST
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AST
1 - 5
CDC
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CON
3 - 1
AST
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |