Costa Calida vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Calida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CCS
2 - 0
IMP
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CDB
0 - 4
CCS
16%
22%
62%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CCS
1 - 0
MSM
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
CCS
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CCS
3 - 1
BAL
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
MOR
21%
26%
53%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
IMP
1 - 1
SAN
77%
16%
7%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
LHO
24%
24%
52%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CDB
1 - 3
SAN
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
FOR
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |