Costa Calida vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Calida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PLU
1 - 0
CCS
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CCS
0 - 1
ABA
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CCS
0 - 6
ALM
8%
16%
77%
|
31 | 83 | 52 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
CER
1 - 0
CCS
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CCS
1 - 3
CER
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 0
IMP
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CDB
3 - 0
LOR
10%
20%
70%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | -3 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 1
LOR
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 1
HAR
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
LOR
4 - 0
CAL
84%
12%
5%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |