Costa Calida vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Calida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PIN
0 - 0
CCS
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 2
CPE
81%
13%
5%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
AGD
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 3
VIL
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
LOR
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
LOR
0 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |