Costa Calida vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Calida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CCS
0 - 6
ALM
8%
16%
77%
|
31 | 83 | 52 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
CER
1 - 0
CCS
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CCS
1 - 3
CER
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CCS
6 - 2
CPE
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 1
CCS
18%
23%
60%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
CAR
6 - 0
ABA
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 4
LOR
11%
20%
69%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CCS
7 - 0
ABA
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ABA
2 - 1
CPE
25%
25%
51%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 0
ABA
61%
21%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |