Costa Calida vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Calida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
YEC
3 - 1
CCS
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
CCS
7 - 1
LUM
80%
13%
6%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MAZ
1 - 2
CCS
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
CCS
0 - 0
JUM
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PUL
0 - 0
CCS
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ABA
2 - 1
CPE
25%
25%
51%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 0
ABA
61%
21%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PIN
6 - 0
ABA
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ABA
3 - 4
YEC
13%
19%
67%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
LUM
3 - 1
ABA
22%
23%
55%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |