Costa Ayala vs Tarajalejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.9%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+767%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
YAI
3 - 2
COS
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
COS
1 - 0
UDS
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
COS
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
COS
1 - 0
DOR
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
SPM
3 - 0
COS
62%
20%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |