Costa Ayala vs UD Guía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
COS
3 - 2
FIR
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
COS
39%
25%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
COS
1 - 0
GAL
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
4 - 2
COS
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
UNV
2 - 1
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Guía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
UDG
1 - 2
BAR
35%
24%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 1
UDG
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
UDG
1 - 4
SPO
33%
24%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
UDG
26%
24%
51%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
UDG
2 - 0
TAH
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |