Costa Ayala vs UD Guía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
LOM
2 - 1
COS
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
EST
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
COS
1 - 0
VLS
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
3 - 1
COS
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
TAR
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UD Guía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
UDG
2 - 1
DOR
59%
22%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
UDG
8%
15%
77%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
UDG
2 - 1
BLP
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
LOM
1 - 1
UDG
15%
19%
67%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
UDI
6 - 2
UDG
24%
25%
52%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |