Costa Ayala vs UD Guía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
72.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
CER
4 - 0
COS
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
COS
2 - 2
MAS
6%
14%
80%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
6 - 0
COS
94%
5%
1%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
COS
0 - 4
CFP
14%
17%
69%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
TER
5 - 0
COS
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
UD Guía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
UDG
3 - 3
SGR
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
BEC
2 - 2
UDG
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
UDG
3 - 0
VEC
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
UDG
1 - 3
ARU
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
TAH
0 - 3
UDG
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |