Costa Ayala vs UD Balos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
COS
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
DOR
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
COS
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
COS
4 - 1
ARG
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
UNV
22%
22%
55%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UD Balos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
UDB
1 - 0
PDS
23%
23%
55%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ING
3 - 1
UDB
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 2
SNI
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BLP
0 - 1
UDB
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
LOM
2 - 2
UDB
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |