Costa Ayala vs UD Balos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
ING
1 - 2
COS
62%
18%
20%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
COS
1 - 1
UDS
10%
18%
72%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
COS
0 - 6
SPM
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
ARG
2 - 1
COS
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
UDS
8 - 2
COS
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UD Balos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
UDB
3 - 1
ARG
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
ARU
2 - 0
UDB
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
UDB
0 - 2
UDG
36%
25%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CDT
2 - 0
UDB
46%
21%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
UDB
2 - 3
TER
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |