Costa Ayala vs Maspalomas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
67.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
CFP
0 - 1
COS
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
COS
1 - 4
TER
35%
22%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 3
COS
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
COS
0 - 0
UDB
72%
15%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
UDG
1 - 2
COS
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Maspalomas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
MAS
0 - 0
UDL
61%
20%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
BEC
1 - 1
MAS
19%
20%
62%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
MAS
2 - 1
SPM
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
VIC
4 - 2
MAS
11%
16%
73%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
MAS
2 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +11 |