Costa Ayala vs Hesperides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
1 - 2
COS
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
COS
2 - 0
ACO
26%
22%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
COS
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Hesperides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
HES
2 - 2
UDB
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
4 - 0
HES
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
HES
0 - 1
UDS
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
HES
2 - 1
HUR
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
UDS
5 - 4
HES
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |