Costa Ayala vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
COS
1 - 0
VLS
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
3 - 1
COS
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
TAR
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
YAI
3 - 2
COS
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
COS
1 - 0
UDS
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
LON
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VLS
0 - 3
EST
10%
15%
75%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
DOR
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
UDS
1 - 6
EST
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
DOR
3 - 0
EST
12%
19%
69%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -2 |