Costa Ayala vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
56%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
COS
2 - 2
UCA
81%
11%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
BEC
0 - 0
COS
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
COS
1 - 1
TAH
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
LON
2 - 2
COS
19%
19%
61%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
COS
6 - 0
SIS
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
EST
2 - 1
BEC
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
TAH
2 - 2
EST
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
EST
5 - 2
LON
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SIS
1 - 1
EST
3%
9%
88%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
CDT
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |