Costa Ayala vs Unión Costa Bañaderos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
SNI
3 - 0
COS
43%
23%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
COS
3 - 2
SIS
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
ATA
2 - 2
COS
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
COS
2 - 1
GUI
79%
13%
9%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
UDS
0 - 1
COS
29%
22%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Costa Bañaderos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
UCB
0 - 0
BAR
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
GAL
3 - 2
UCB
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
UCB
0 - 3
SPO
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CDG
0 - 3
UCB
40%
23%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UCB
2 - 2
AGA
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |