Costa Ayala vs CD Guiniguada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
UDS
0 - 1
COS
29%
22%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
COS
2 - 1
UVI
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
UDG
0 - 2
COS
17%
21%
63%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
FIR
0 - 2
COS
12%
18%
70%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
COS
2 - 1
BAR
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Guiniguada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
2 - 1
BAR
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
GAL
1 - 2
GUI
38%
23%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
GUI
2 - 5
SPO
21%
20%
59%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CDG
2 - 2
GUI
63%
19%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
GUI
1 - 3
AGA
31%
22%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |