Costa Ayala vs El Cotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
49.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
1 - 0
COS
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
TIN
55%
21%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
2 - 0
COS
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
COS
2 - 4
TEL
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 0
COS
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COT
0 - 0
PDS
56%
21%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ING
1 - 3
COT
19%
22%
58%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
COT
4 - 2
SNI
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BLP
0 - 1
COT
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
COT
2 - 0
LOM
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |