Costa Ayala vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
78.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
TAH
5 - 2
COS
47%
22%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
COS
1 - 6
UNV
6%
11%
83%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
COS
0 - 2
UDS
13%
17%
71%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
UDB
6 - 2
COS
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
COS
3 - 0
TEL
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
ARU
2 - 1
SGR
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
BEC
3 - 2
ARU
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
VEC
3 - 3
ARU
16%
20%
65%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
ARU
20%
23%
56%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
TAH
1 - 2
ARU
8%
15%
77%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |