Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
73.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
COS
1 - 3
CAI
21%
24%
55%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
COS
0 - 3
PEN
11%
21%
68%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
DOM
1 - 0
COS
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
COS
0 - 0
SGI
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
0 - 0
COS
84%
12%
5%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 1
TPE
17%
22%
62%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 2
PEN
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
VIR
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 1
VIR
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
JUV
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |