Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
COS
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
COS
1 - 1
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 3
COS
23%
24%
54%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
2 - 1
VIR
18%
24%
59%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TFI
2 - 3
VIR
64%
21%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 2
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
JUV
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
TPE
1 - 1
VIR
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |