Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
COS
5 - 0
TFI
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
SGI
4 - 8
COS
21%
23%
55%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
COS
0 - 3
MUR
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
COS
3 - 2
FOL
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
COS
3 - 0
CAI
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 0
VIR
39%
26%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
VIR
4 - 1
LIB
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 1
FIO
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
DOM
0 - 1
VIR
33%
24%
43%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |