Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
50.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
FIO
4 - 4
COS
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
FAE
1 - 0
COS
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
COS
2 - 1
FIO
75%
16%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
COS
0 - 2
MUR
20%
24%
57%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
COS
2 - 2
CAI
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 2
SGI
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
CAI
2 - 1
VIR
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 0
VIR
47%
24%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
VIR
3 - 0
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 2
JUV
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |