Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
TPE
1 - 1
COS
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
COS
1 - 0
DOM
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
TFI
0 - 1
COS
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
SGI
1 - 1
COS
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
COS
1 - 1
JUV
84%
12%
5%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
0 - 1
DOM
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 1
TFI
80%
13%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
LIB
0 - 0
VIR
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 0
VIR
12%
20%
68%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
3 - 1
TPE
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |